In 2020, fundamental valuations in global and local equity markets differed significantly from market valuations. The hard-to-estimate consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic prompted a significant group of investors to downsize their positions or exit the market completely. The situation normalized only in the last quarter of 2020, as more reports on the efficacy of vaccines were published.
In 2020, PZU stock recommendations were issued by 11 domestic and international financial institutions. In total, sell side analysts published 25 recommendations.
Source: analysts’ recommendations; company
In 2020, all recommendations for PZU’s shares were positive or neutral. However, for most of the year, the actual price of the Company’s stock was lower than the minimum price set by analysts. The difference between the target prices according to analysts’ recommendations and the PZU share price was 34% on average. It was growing from the beginning of the year and reached 55.6% in October.
Source: analysts’ recommendations; company
31 December 2019 | 31 December 2020 | Change | Price variance between the recommendations and the share price at the end of 2020 (PLN 32.36) | |
Highest target price | 53.0 | 39.3 | (25.8%) | 21.5% |
Average of the target prices | 44.1 | 34.7 | (21.3%) | 7.2% |
Median of the target prices | 43.4 | 36.1 | (20.0%) | 11.6% |
Lowest target price | 38.0 | 26.8 | (29.5%) | (17.2%) |
Source: analysts’ recommendations; company
In the middle of Q4 2020, in line with improved sentiments on global and local markets, the PZU share price rebounded strongly. At the end of the year, the difference between the recommendation prices and the actual share price shrank to just 7.2%, from 9.8% at the beginning of the year. During the last December session of 2020, the PZU share price stood at PLN 32.36. The minimum and maximum target prices for PZU’s stock in analysts’ forecasts active at the end of December 2020 (7 “buy” and 4 “hold” recommendations) were PLN 26.8 and PLN 39.3, respectively. The average target price was PLN 34.7.
Institution | Analyst | Contact details | |
Citi | Andrzej Powierża | +48 22 690 35 66 | andrzej.powierza@citi.com |
Haitong | Marta Czajkowska-Bałdyga | +48 22 330 62 51 | marta.czajkowska-baldyga@haitongib.com |
HSBC | Thomas Fossard | +33 1 56 52 43 40 | thomas.fossard@hsbc.com |
Ipopema | Łukasz Jańczak | +48 22 236 92 30 | lukasz.janczak@ipopema.pl |
JP Morgan | Samuel Goodacre | +44 207 1346 720 | samuel.goodacre@jpmorgan.com |
mBank | Michał Konarski | +48 22 697 47 37 | michal.konarski@mdm.pl |
PKO BP | Jaromir Szortyka | +48 22 580 39 47 | jaromir.szortyka@pkobp.pl |
Raiffeisen Centrobank | Oliver Simkovic | +43 1 51520 706 | oliver.simkovic@rbinternational.com |
Trigon | Maciej Marcinowski | +48 22 4338 375 | maciej.marcinowski@trigon.pl |
UBS | Michał Potyra | +27 11 322 7320 | michal.potyra@ubs.com |
Wood & Company | Marta Jeżewska-Wasilewska | +48 22 222 15 48 | marta.jezewska-wasilewska@wood.com |
e-mail: IR@pzu.pl
Magdalena Komaracka, IR Director, tel. +48 (22) 582 22 93
Piotr Wiśniewski, IR Manager, tel. +48 (22) 582 26 23
Aleksandra Jakima-Moskwa, tel. +48 (22) 582 26 17
Aleksandra Dachowska, tel. +48 (22) 582 43 92
Piotr Wąsiewicz, tel. +48 (22) 582 41 95